Florida impacts uncertain as Invest 94-L jumps in development chances, NHC tags new area of interest

Right on the heels of Hurricane Helene and Milton’s devastating paths through Florida, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring Invest 94-L, which could form into a tropical depression this week.The NHC is also watching an area in the Caribbean where an area of low pressure could form soon.> Related: What’s an invest?Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the AtlanticAs of now, the system does not appear to be a threat to Florida, so there’s no need to panic. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns.According to the NHC, the well-defined area of low pressure is currently located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles, where it is producing limited showers and thunderstorms.Right now, the system is embedded in an unfavorable, dry environment and any development in the next few days is not expected.However, while the system moves westward or south-westward toward warmer waters, the NHC says environmental conditions could become more favorable for gradual development. By the end of the week, a tropical depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward Islands.Formation chances are low for the next 48 hours (only 10%), but jump to 60% in the next week — up from previous advisories. As of now, most major models agree on the storm starting to organize toward the end of the week, but differ on where the system may head after that. The Euro model shows the system taking a northward turn, eventually moving out into the Atlantic with no impacts to Florida. The GFS models shows the system continuing to move into the Caribbean and interacting with the mountains of Hispaniola, which could break the system up. With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is keeping an eye on Invest 94-L and will bring you the latest.MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropics Area of interest: Western Caribbean SeaAt 2 p.m. on Monday, the NHC said they were also watching an area where a broad area of low pressure could form soon, possibly around mid or late week.If the system stays over water while moving west-northwestward toward Central America, the NHC says some development is possible. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Central America. Formation chances are low for now, holding at near 0% for the next 48 hours and only 20% for the next seven days.First Warning Weather Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts. The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

ORLANDO, Fla. —

The NHC is also watching an area in the Caribbean where an area of low pressure could form soon.

> Related: What’s an invest?

Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the Atlantic

As of now, the system does not appear to be a threat to Florida, so there’s no need to panic. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns.

According to the NHC, the well-defined area of low pressure is currently located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles, where it is producing limited showers and thunderstorms.

Right now, the system is embedded in an unfavorable, dry environment and any development in the next few days is not expected.

However, while the system moves westward or south-westward toward warmer waters, the NHC says environmental conditions could become more favorable for gradual development. By the end of the week, a tropical depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward Islands.

Formation chances are low for the next 48 hours (only 10%), but jump to 60% in the next week — up from previous advisories.

As of now, most major models agree on the storm starting to organize toward the end of the week, but differ on where the system may head after that.

The Euro model shows the system taking a northward turn, eventually moving out into the Atlantic with no impacts to Florida.

The GFS models shows the system continuing to move into the Caribbean and interacting with the mountains of Hispaniola, which could break the system up.

With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is keeping an eye on Invest 94-L and will bring you the latest.

MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropics

Area of interest: Western Caribbean Sea

At 2 p.m. on Monday, the NHC said they were also watching an area where a broad area of low pressure could form soon, possibly around mid or late week.

If the system stays over water while moving west-northwestward toward Central America, the NHC says some development is possible. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Central America.

Formation chances are low for now, holding at near 0% for the next 48 hours and only 20% for the next seven days.