Buccaneers Vs. Falcons odds, predictions, times: 42-23 Thursday Night Football pick by NFL models

Teams expected to battle for the NFC South title this season will clash when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football. Tampa Bay is coming off a 33-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, while Atlanta edged the New Orleans Saints 26-24. The Bucs (3-1), who are 3-0 in the conference, are looking to reach the NFL playoff bracket for the fifth consecutive season. The Falcons (2-2), who are 2-0 in the conference, including 1-0 in the division, have not reached the playoffs since 2017. Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans (knee/calf) was limited in practice Tuesday, as were Falcons stars Beajon Robinson (ankle) and receiver Ray-Ray McCloud (ankle). Both teams won last week.

Kickoff from Atlanta's Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 8:15 pm ET. The latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds have the Falcons a 1.5-point favorite, with the over-under for total points at 43.5. The Falcons are -125 money-line favorites, while the Buccaneers are +106 underdogs. Before picking Falcons vs. Buccaneers, be sure to check out NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine's proven computer models.

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has more than $7,000 for $100 players in top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is on a 42-23 roll among the top-rated NFL picks through Week 7 of 2022.

The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch over the past six years in straight-up NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model is Buccaneers Vs. Set his sights on the Falcons and locked in his picks and NFL predictions. You can now visit Sportsline to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Falcons vs. Bucs spread, money line and over/under:

• Buccaneers vs. Falcons spread: Atlanta -1.5
• Buccaneers vs. Falcons Over/Under: 43.5 points
• Buccaneers vs. Falcons money line: Tampa Bay +106, Atlanta -126
• TB: The Buccaneers are 3-1 against the spread this season
• ATL: The Falcons are 1-3 ATS through the first four weeks
• Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks: Watch the pick at SportsLine

Why you should back the Falcons

Veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins ​​powers Atlanta's offense. In four games, he completed 77 of 119 passes (64.7%) for 864 yards and four touchdowns. He was picked four times, but has an 83.5 rating. Cousins' best showing came on September 16 in a 22–21 come-from-behind win over the Philadelphia Eagles. In that game, he turned Atlanta around late, completing 20 of 29 passes (69%) for 241 yards. Two touchdowns

Also returning to the offense is Vijon Robinson. For the season, the second-year back carried 55 times for 224 yards (4.1 average) and a touchdown. He also had 15 receptions for 135 yards (9.0 avg.), including a long of 26 yards. See any team picks here.

Why you should back the Buccaneers

Veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield has dominated this season. He completed 70.5% of his passes on 91-of-129 completions for 984 yards and eight touchdowns. He has only been intercepted twice and has a rating of 106.9. He also ran for a pair of scores. In last Sunday's win over the Eagles, he completed 30 of 47 passes for 347 yards and two touchdowns.

Running back Bucky Irving helped lead the ground attack. He carried 35 times for 203 yards (5.8 avg.) and a touchdown. He made two explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a long one of 32 yards. In the win against Philadelphia, he carried 10 times for 49 yards and a touchdown. See any team picks here.

How Buccaneers Vs. Picking the Falcons

SportsLine's model leans on the total, projecting 47 points. It also tells one side of spread cash in more than 50% of simulations. You can find only NFL model picks at Sportsline

So who wins Falcons vs. Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Head over to SportsLine now to see which side the Falcons vs. Buccaneers might jump to, all from advanced models that top $7,000 to its NFL picks, and find out.