NFL Odds, Vegas Lines, Picks, Spreads, Game Predictions: Model I Falcons, Commander in Week 6, 2024

When Jim Harbaugh took over as Chargers head coach after leading Michigan to a national championship, many expected LA to slow down with a run-heavy offense. The sportsbooks must have known this, because long drives often lead to fewer points, so the over-under for the Chargers might be reduced. Four Chargers games went under the total and only one over hit by a one-score margin. This week, the Chargers play the Broncos with an over/under of 35.5 points, according to the latest Week 6 NFL Odds. That's the lowest over/under on the Week 6 NFL schedule since opening at 42.5.

Should you be playing the Chargers (-3) or either side of the over/under when picking your Week 6 NFL best bets and NFL betting picks? All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and NFL predictions you need to pick the best Week 6 NFL picks right now.

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has more than $7,000 for $100 players in top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 10-2 hot streak in this year's top-rated NFL picks. Over the long term, that's a 191-131 roll over top-rated NFL picks starting in the 2017 season and a 45-23 roll over top-rated NFL picks through Week 7 of 2022.

The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch over the past six years in straight-up NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it's focused on the latest Week 6 NFL odds and NFL betting lines on spreads, money lines and over-unders, and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Go here to see each pick.

Top Week 6 NFL Predictions

We can tell you one of the strongest Week 6 NFL picks in the model is that the Falcons (-6, 47) cover the spread vs. the Panthers. Carolina's offense was anemic with Andy Dalton under center in last week's loss to the Chicago Bears. Dalton completed 18 of 28 passes for 136 yards and an interception in the 36-10 rout. Running back Chuba Hubbard was the lone bright spot for the Panthers with 97 rushing yards and a touchdown.

However, Carolina's defense was exposed in last week's loss, giving up 304 passing yards to rookie quarterback Caleb Williams. On Sunday, the Panthers will face an Atlanta offense that has found its rhythm. Quarterback Kirk Cousins ​​threw for a franchise record 504 yards in the Falcons' 36-30 win over the Buccaneers last Thursday. Also, the Falcons are 12-5 in their past 17 meetings against the Panthers, while Carolina is just 1-13 in its last 14 matchups against opponents from the NFC. That's a big reason why Atlanta (-6) is projected to win by at least one touchdown and over 50% coverage in simulations. See other team picks here.

Another Week 6 NFL betting prediction: Commander (+6.5, 51.5) covers the Ravens vs. the road in a game with the second-highest over-under of the week. If the regular season ended today, you could make a strong case for Jayden Daniels becoming the first rookie since Jim Brown in 1957 to win the NFL MVP. Washington leads the NFC East with a 4-1 record despite having the longest odds to win the division entering this season. Daniels leads the NFL in completion percentage (77.1%) and has the fifth-best quarterback rating.

Daniels and Lamar Jackson will have a matchup of arguably two of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the NFL right now. Although the Ravens have won three straight games, only one of those wins has come by more than three points. There's also an emotional component that can't be overlooked as the Ravens are coming off key AFC wins over the Bills and Bengals, and if a fall against an NFC opponent, Washington could upset the Ravens. The Commanders already have two wins against AFC North teams (Bengals and Browns), but all they need is to stay close for the spread on Sunday. Washington is also 4-1 ATS this year and the model projects the Commanders to cover the spread in more than 50% of simulations. See other team picks here.

How to make Week 6 NFL picks

The model also calls out who will win and cover every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule and reveals just two underdogs who won outright, potentially giving you a huge payday. You can get every pick for every game only at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you confidently pick and which two underdogs should be locked up right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then head over to SportsLine to see which teams won and covered the spread, all from a proven computer model that returned more than $7,000 and find out.

Week 6 NFL Betting Odds, Lines, Spreads

Get Week 6 NFL picks on SportsLine

Sunday, October 13

Jaguars vs. Bears — at London (-1, 44.5)

Commander in Ravens (-6.5, 51.5)

Cardinals at Packers (-5.5, 47.5)

Texans at Patriots (+6.5, 37.5)

Saints at Buccaneers (+3.5, 41.5)

Browns at Eagles (-9.5, 42.5)

Colts at Titans (-2.5, 43)

Chargers at Broncos (+3, 35.5)

Steelers at Raiders (+3, 36.5)

Falcons (+6, 47) at Panthers

Lion of the Cowboys (+3, 52)

Bengals at Giants (+3.5, 47)

Monday, October 14

Bills at Jets (+2.5, 41)