US unemployment claims rise in wake of Hurricane Helen
The number of Americans filing for unemployment rose more than expected last week, the highest in 14 months, boosted slightly by the impact of Hurricane Helen.
Economists say Hurricane Milton, which barreled through Florida overnight, will likely have more of an impact on the job market in the short term.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 33,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 258,000 for the week ended Oct. 5, the Labor Department said Thursday.
Inflation rose 2.4% in September, beating expectations
Economists polled by LSEG had forecast 230,000 claims in the latest week. The biggest increases in unpaid claims were in North Carolina and Florida, the two states hardest hit when Helen ravaged large parts of the Southeast in late September. The impact of the storm could skew claims data in the weeks ahead.
Helen brought devastating floods and storm surges to the Southeast, killing at least 232 people and displacing countless numbers. Moody's RMS Event Response estimates that losses caused by severe storms cost the US private insurance market between $8 billion and $14 billion.
Hurricane Milton disrupts gasoline supply chain
Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, predicted that unemployment claims would rise further in the coming weeks due to the devastation of Milton.
He noted that traditional economic data on the storm's impact is not yet available, but cited reports that 30% of electric customers in Florida were without power as of Thursday morning — an impact that would likely account for 6% of U.S. GDP because the state accounts for it.
“Employment, retail sales and industrial production generally fall in areas affected by severe weather, then rebound quickly as rebuilding begins,” Adams wrote in a note responding to the jobless claims data.
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“This means it will be difficult to tell whether economic trends are changing in October and November, since monthly changes in upcoming data could be due to storms or changes in the broader economy.”
Eric Revel of Fox Business and Reuters contributed to this report.