Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, predictions, times: 42-23 Thursday Night Football picks from NFL Model

The Atlanta Falcons will try to pull even with the first-place Tampa Bay Buccaneers when the teams meet on Thursday Night Football at Atlanta's Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both teams are coming off wins last Sunday, with Tampa Bay picking up a 33-16 victory over Philadelphia, while Atlanta edged New Orleans 26-24. The Buccaneers (3-1), first in the AFC South, will try to win their fifth game in their last six tries in Atlanta. The Falcons (2-2), tied for second in the division with New Orleans, have won two of the last three meetings with Tampa Bay.

Kickoff from Atlanta's Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 8:15 pm ET. The Falcons are 2.5-point favorites at the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, with the over-under totaling 44 points, a point and a half more than the opener. The Falcons are -138 money-line favorites after opening at -125 ($138 risk to win $100), while the Buccaneers are +117 underdogs. Before picking Falcons vs. Buccaneers, be sure to check out NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine's proven computer models.

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has more than $7,000 for $100 players in top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is on a 42-23 roll among the top-rated NFL picks through Week 7 of 2022.

The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch over the past six years in straight-up NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model is Buccaneers Vs. Set his sights on the Falcons and locked in his picks and NFL predictions. You can now visit Sportsline to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Falcons vs. Bucs spread, money line and over/under:

• Buccaneers vs. Falcons spread: Atlanta -2.5
• Buccaneers vs. Falcons Over/Under: 44 points
• Buccaneers vs. Falcons money line: Tampa Bay +117, Atlanta -138
• TB: The Buccaneers are 3-1 against the spread this season
• ATL: The Falcons are 1-3 ATS through the first four weeks
• Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks: Watch the pick at SportsLine

Why you should back the Falcons

Quarterback Kirk Cousins, in his 13th season in the league and first in Atlanta, was impressive. He completed 64.7% of his passes for 864 yards and four touchdowns with four interceptions. He is working his way back from an Achilles injury last year as a member of the Minnesota Vikings. In 154 career games, Cousins ​​has thrown for 40,335 yards, completing 66.9% of his passes with 274 touchdowns and 114 interceptions.

Wide receiver Drake London led the Falcons with 20 receptions for 200 yards and two touchdowns. He has 50 yards after the catch and has converted nine first downs. In last Sunday's win over the Saints, he caught six passes for 64 yards, including two first-down conversions. A week earlier in a 22-17 loss to Kansas City, he caught six passes for 67 yards and a score. See any team picks here.

Why you should back the Buccaneers

Veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield has dominated this season. He completed 70.5% of his passes on 91-of-129 completions for 984 yards and eight touchdowns. He has only been intercepted twice and has a rating of 106.9. He also ran for a pair of scores. In last Sunday's win over the Eagles, he completed 30 of 47 passes for 347 yards and two touchdowns.

Running back Bucky Irving helped lead the ground attack. He carried 35 times for 203 yards (5.8 avg.) and a touchdown. He made two explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a long one of 32 yards. In the win against Philadelphia, he carried 10 times for 49 yards and a touchdown. See any team picks here.

How Buccaneers Vs. Picking the Falcons

SportsLine's model leans on the total, projecting 47 points. It also tells one side of spread cash in more than 50% of simulations. You can find only NFL model picks at Sportsline

So who wins Falcons vs. Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Head over to SportsLine now to see which side the Falcons vs. Buccaneers might jump to, all from advanced models that top $7,000 to its NFL picks, and find out.