NHC monitoring disturbance in Caribbean as models agree on soggy conditions in Florida

NHC monitoring disturbance in Caribbean as models agree on soggy conditions in Florida


On the heels of Hurricane Helene’s devastating landfall in Florida, the National Hurricane Center is watching another system in the Caribbean Sea that has the potential to impact the state.While models are not confident on the intensity of this system or if it will even become something tropical, the NHC says Floridians should “monitor” the disturbance — though, there is plenty of time to do so. The timing of the systems impacts still look to be next week, with heavy rainfall being a huge concern.Currently, a broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, but the NHC says environmental conditions could support some gradual development as the system moves northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico.According to the NHC, a tropical depression could form over the weekend once the system fully enters the Gulf. While most major models agree on the system moving toward Florida after that, models are not yet consistent enough to say what may form. As models fluctuate back and forth in regards to path and intensity, it’s important to take the data loosely. If the system develops, models will become more consistent and accurate, giving officials a better idea of direction and strength. For now, that data is not available.Formation chances remain pretty low for now, holding at just 0% in the next 48 hours and 40% in the next seven days — a decrease from previous advisories.This Caribbean disturbance is threatening Florida less than a week after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.>> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in FloridaAs the peak of hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including Kirk and Invest 91-L. Click here for the latest.Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

On the heels of Hurricane Helene’s devastating landfall in Florida, the National Hurricane Center is watching another system in the Caribbean Sea that has the potential to impact the state.

While models are not confident on the intensity of this system or if it will even become something tropical, the NHC says Floridians should “monitor” the disturbance — though, there is plenty of time to do so. The timing of the systems impacts still look to be next week, with heavy rainfall being a huge concern.

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This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

Currently, a broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, but the NHC says environmental conditions could support some gradual development as the system moves northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico.

According to the NHC, a tropical depression could form over the weekend once the system fully enters the Gulf. While most major models agree on the system moving toward Florida after that, models are not yet consistent enough to say what may form.

As models fluctuate back and forth in regards to path and intensity, it’s important to take the data loosely. If the system develops, models will become more consistent and accurate, giving officials a better idea of direction and strength. For now, that data is not available.

Formation chances remain pretty low for now, holding at just 0% in the next 48 hours and 40% in the next seven days — a decrease from previous advisories.

This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

This Caribbean disturbance is threatening Florida less than a week after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.

>> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers

>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in Florida

As the peak of hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including Kirk and Invest 91-L. Click here for the latest.

Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

First Warning Weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.





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