Saints vs. Broncos odds, predictions, times, spreads: Thursday Night Football picks from NFL models on 11-3 rolls

The New Orleans Saints will try to snap a four-game losing streak when they take on the Denver Broncos on Thursday Night Football. New Orleans is coming off a 51-27 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while Denver dropped a 23-16 decision to the Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos (3-3), who are 2-1 this season, have outscored their opponents 112-96. The Saints (2-4), who are 1-2 at home in 2024, have outscored their foes 167-147. Quarterback Derek Carr (oblique) is expected to be out for New Orleans, while receivers Chris Olave (concussion) and Rasheed Shahid (knee) will not play.

Kickoff from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans is set for 8:15 pm ET. Recent Broncos vs. Saints odds have the Broncos as 2.5-point favorites, where the over/under for total points scored is 37. Before picking Saints vs. Broncos, be sure to check out SportsLine's proven NFL predictions and betting tips computer models.

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has more than $7,000 for $100 players in top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 11-3 hot streak among this year's top-rated NFL picks. Over the long term, that's a 192-132 roll in top-rated NFL picks starting in the 2017 season and a 46-24 roll in top-rated NFL picks through Week 7 of 2022.

The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch over the past six years in straight-up NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it on their favorite sports betting sites and betting apps.

Now, the model has an eye on the Broncos vs. Saints and has locked in its betting picks and NFL predictions. You can now visit Sportsline to see the model choices. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Saints vs. Broncos:

Why you should support the Saints

Running back Alvin Kamara powers New Orleans' rushing attack. In six games, he rushed 104 times for 428 yards (4.1 avg.) and six touchdowns with 28 first-down conversions. In a 44–19 win at Dallas on September 15, he carried 20 times for 115 yards (5.8 avg.) and three touchdowns, while catching two passes for 65 yards and a score.

For the season, Kamara has 28 receptions for 238 yards and one TD. The eight-year veteran played in 107 career games, rushing for 6,257 yards and 60 touchdowns. With receivers Rashid Shahid (knee) and Chris Olave (concussion) out, Kamara will rely more on the air and ground. See any team picks here.

Why you should back the Broncos

Rookie quarterback Bo Nix is ​​off to a fast start to his career. Denver's top pick in the 2024 NFL Draft completed 121 of 198 passes (61.1%) for 1,082 yards and five touchdowns. He has been picked five times and has a rating of 73.7. He also carried 37 times for 180 yards (4.9 avg.) and three touchdowns. He has four explosive plays including a long of 23 yards. In a 34–18 win over the Las Vegas Raiders on October 6, the Knicks completed 19 of 27 passes (70.4%) for 206 yards and two touchdowns.

Veteran wide receiver Courtland Sutton leads the Broncos with 21 catches for 277 yards (13.2 average) and two touchdowns. He has six explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a long of 29 yards. He has 41 yards after the catch with 16 first-down conversions. In Sunday's loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, he caught four passes for 53 yards and a score. See any team picks here.

How to Make Broncos vs Saints Picks

SportsLine's model leans below that total, projecting a total of 37 points. It also states that one side of the spread cache is in more than 50% of the simulations. You can find NFL model picks only at SportsLine

So who wins Broncos vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits better 50% of the time? Head over to SportsLine now to see which side the Broncos vs. Saints might jump to, from all the advanced models that top $7,000 to its NFL picks and find out.